Balancing the Scales

Hey, remember my article on ratios between endowment size and base salary? The MOA has acknowledged its conclusions!

Well, sort of.

The MOA recently sent out an email poetically entitled “What does it take to balance the scales?

What does it take to balance the scales? You tell me.

The vivid imagery of the subject line makes me want to write a haiku! “What does it take to / balance the MOA scales / sustain’bility”

The email is just the MOA’s latest attempt to bring the public round to their point of view. (Alas, the PR firm they’re paying $50,000 a year to has to earn its keep somehow.) If you’re a musician supporter and have blood pressure problems, just ignore it; it’s chockablock with misleading facts and figures, contains nothing new, and in general is just not worth your bitter impotent rage. I could address it point by point, and maybe eventually I will, but honestly I’m only one woman, I’m sick, and I’ve got better crap to do. If you have any specific questions about any of the claims, feel free to ask, and I’ll happily answer.

But there is one fascinating point that I wanted to bring to y’all’s attention…

The MOA writes:

The Minnesota Orchestra posted a $6 million deficit in Fiscal 2012. Until we wrestle our expenses and revenues into alignment, our organization will face mounting deficits each year, which will quickly deplete our endowment. Fully 80 percent of our budget is spent on musicians and concert-related costs. Musicians’ salary and benefits are responsible for 48 percent of Orchestra expenses.

Here are our options to resolve the deficit:

Double ticket prices

This could eliminate our deficit only if everyone now buying tickets was willing to pay twice as much. We don’t believe it is achievable, nor is it fair to our audiences to offer tickets ranging from $40 to $200 per person, per concert.

Double contributions

Our community already donates more to the Minnesota Orchestra than any other performing arts organization in Minnesota. Nevertheless, we have launched a fundraising feasibility study to determine whether sustainable new funding exists in the community for our Orchestra.

Increase our endowment by $120 million

To maintain musician compensation at current levels via a responsible draw rate, the MOA endowment—funds donated for long-term stability, not temporary needs—would require an immediate infusion of $120 million. As context, since 2005 we have raised $24 million toward a goal of $30 million for the endowment.

Reduce expenses

Our approach to resolving our deficit is to increase income realistically via tickets, donations and investments—and to make significant decreases in expenses. We have already cut expenses in every corner of the Minnesota Orchestra—including laying off 20 percent of our staff and cutting staff salaries and benefits. Now we are asking our musicians to participate.

Take a look at point number three. The MOA says they would need “an immediate infusion” of $120 million into the endowment to be able to sustain a $111,000 base salary. I believe I was the first to raise this general issue publicly, back in my titillatingly titled “Some Dorky Musings on Endowment Sizes and Base Salaries.” If you haven’t read that yet, you should.

In the 2012-15 Strategic Plan, the MOA says that in 2012 their “invested assets” were projected to be roughly $140 million. (It is unclear if this accurately portrays gains in the market since then, or if and how the $30-$60 million Building for the Future fundraising fits into this number.) But let’s use $140 million for the sake of this example. $140 million plus the hypothetical “immediate infusion” of $120 million is $260 million. So if I’m interpreting correctly (and correct me if I’m wrong, MOA), they’re saying they need a roughly $260 million endowment to sustain a base salary of $111,000. To use the equation in my “Dorky Musings” essay of endowment / base salary…$260 million / $110,000, or 2363.

But the thing is, nobody else besides Boston uses this ratio. Or anything remotely close to it. Here’s an updated chart…

graph (76)

“Minnesota Possibility A” is a $200 million endowment and $78,000 base salary (as posited in the “Dorky Musings” essay). “Minnesota Possibility B” is a $260 million endowment and a $110,000 base salary (as posited in this new “Balancing the Scales” email).

Boston is an outlier, but their endowment is nearly $400 million. (Their contract also calls for fifteen-plus more musicians than Henson’s does, so there’s that, too.)

If we followed something a ratio closer to other orchestras, like 1200, the MOA would only need $133 million to support a $111,000 base salary. And the MOA has that.

I’m not sure how else to interpret this email besides Mr. Henson is saying he knows better than every other orchestra CEO in America. Detroit, with its $79,000 base salary and $30 million endowment? Unsustainable! Houston, with its $82,000 base salary and its $60 million endowment? Unsustainable! Cincinnati, with its $97,000 base salary and its $60 million endowment? Even MORE unsustainable! Cleveland, with its $120,000 base salary and its $130 million endowment? Unsustainable! Pittsburgh, with its $100,000 base salary and its $110 million endowment? Unsustainable! Dallas, with its $91,000 base salary and $100 million endowment? Unsustainable! Even Chicago, with its $144,000 base salary and $240 million endowment, or Los Angeles with its $143,000 base salary and $180 million endowment, or San Francisco with its $141,000 base salary and its $260 million endowment, or New York with its $135,000 base salary and $180 million endowment…all unsustainable, unsustainable, unsustainable, UNSUSTAINABLE!

I call upon Mr. Henson to show me an American orchestra that he thinks is sustainable, and explain why, in detail. Who should we be modeling ourselves after financially? Is there anyone? Despite the positive references to Detroit in the MOA minutes, Mr. Henson sure as crap isn’t following their fiscal lead; their endowment is only $30 million, as opposed to Minnesota’s $150 million plus, and yet Mr. Henson envisions both orchestras having roughly the same base salary. What resources does Detroit have in place that Minneapolis doesn’t?

In short: why should Minnesota follow such an extreme ratio? And if this ratio is truly necessary, then how are other orchestras surviving? Maybe there’s a good reason, but I haven’t heard it yet.

Teach me, MOA. Explain where I went wrong. Expose me as the dumb ill-informed senseless woman you think I am. I’m doing this all for free, and spending hours of my valuable time on this, for the sole reason that I love orchestral music and I care about this orchestra. The least you can do for a loyal patron who cares is to knife her arguments to pieces, even under a pseudonym. Stun me with your intellectual prowess, Michael Henson. Nobody – absolutely nobody – is stopping you.

5 Comments

Filed under Labor Disputes, Minnesota Orchestra

5 responses to “Balancing the Scales

  1. Maryann Goldstein

    All fantastic points, Emily. Many of us would like a better understanding of Mr. Henson’s logic. Others have pointed out that math does not seem to be his strong suit.

    I believe that this ridiculous figure of $120 million gets thrown out because the MOA KNOWS that there is no way they can get an immediate infusion of this amount—therefore the musicians MUST agree to the new contract. Of course this questionable financial argument has nothing or little to do with the 250 changes to the working conditions…. It’s all smoke and mirrors to break the musicians and their union.

  2. Great points, Emily. I would love to better understand Michael Henson’s logic.It wasn’t covered in any of my philosophy classes at the U. I would also think that the state legislature would be interested in hearing an explanation as well, given that the Minnesota Orchestra is a public institution. As for the shareholders and other executives at US Bank and Wells Fargo, they SHOULD be interested if they aren’t already. When top level executives of banking institutions are involved with such fuzzy numbers, creative accounting, and projected revenue numbers that are off by the equivalent of three entire years of the whole budget (as Jon Campbell was) it does not speak well for the organization as a whole.

    • Sarah

      Except that the banksters got so used to running to the gummit because they were too big to fail – and then they demanded that they be able to keep wrecking things. So this fits into their “logic”, sort of. We 99%-ers just don’t UNDERSTAND.

  3. Performing Artist52

    Emily, you are brilliant! I love reading all of your analytical posts because I for one do not look at the information from the MOA as closely as you do. But when I first heard about this letter sent to the patrons, I was as usual absolutely enraged! It seems the MOA must scramble to get to their patrons as fast as possible to thwart any god forbid possibility that what they may read from the musicians does make sense.
    I for one, am extremely worried that Mr. Henson and the board will never back down! It doesn’t matter what the musicians do or say, they are not supported with power like Henson is with the board. What is it that the public can do that hasn’t already been done to help?
    But I do so appreciate your continued vigilance to all that the MOA falsely puts out there.

  4. Bill Slobotski

    Thanks for the wonderful analysis Emily! I admit that I am losing steam in the battle (letters to the Star Tribune editor rejected, emails to minn orch ignored, the press doesnt seem to want to dig into anything (especially when there is *weather to report on*), etc) but you give me reason to keep on mission. Wouldn’t it be wonderful if someone from the board or management would answer some of these tough questions? What a dream.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s